Oh, the sweet sensation of lifting the Chalice of Undefeatedness on a Sunday morning!
It’s a feeling that never gets old. You never know how many undefeated weeks you’ll have when it comes to picking games against the spread. It’s just important to celebrate in an understated way that doesn’t upset the Gambling Gods. I did this after an undefeated slate in Week 3 and, boy howdy, my Week 4 was a tire fire.
After last week’s triumph, we’re back in the black with a winning record. Let’s keep the momentum in Week 6, shall we?
TCU -7 @ Kansas
As I said on the preview podcast, Kansas has faced a talent gap in nearly every game it has played this season. Thanks to outstanding coaching, the Jayhawks have been able to bridge the gap and start off 5-0. They’ve been the story of college football in 2022, and I’m thrilled that College GameDay is headed to Lawrence to celebrate their remarkable start.
I desperately want to believe that Kansas can win this game, too. My issue is TCU’s explosiveness. This is a quick strike offense that will punish the Jayhawks secondary several times over. And while I have no doubts that Kansas will also score against a porous TCU defense, I think the talent gap is too great to be overcome with quality coaching alone.
Bet TCU -7
Listen to our Week 6 Picks Podcast
Wisconsin -10 @ Northwestern
Paul Chryst may have gotten the axe, but Northwestern still stinks. As it stands, the Wildcats would be a double-digit underdog in every game between now and the end of the season.
The Jim Leonhard audition officially starts this week against an extremely beatable opponent, and I believe we’ll see more of an open offense playing with renewed purpose after Chryst’s dismissal. In order to cover this spread, the Badgers will need to score about 21 points, a number they might reach by halftime.
Bet Wisconsin -10
Texas -7 vs. Oklahoma
I’m tempting fate a bit by picking a matchup that is usually very close, but I believe the Texas offense can exploit the Oklahoma offense. The Sooners have been a very bad tackling team so far this season. In addition, they’ve been really bad playing man coverage. Practically speaking, this means that the Longhorns are going to run Bijon Robinson in order to set up shots downfield with Xavier Worthy or Jordan Whittington. If Quinn Ewers is able to return from injury, it would also provide a huge boost.
I’m not under any illusions that the Texas defense will completely neutralize Oklahoma, either. This could be a high-scoring game. But with outstanding questions about Dillon Gabriel’s health, I’m inclined to go Longhorns in the rivalry.
Bet Texas -7